Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Calling All Wisconsin Conservatives

To Meghan's point every time I'm watching election results, there is only so much of the talking heads on CNN, ect, that you can take (though my threshold for pundency is certainly higher than hers). What did we learn tonight? I'll sum up very briefly what you already know: McCain is the Republican Nominee-Elect, if there is such a thing (and there certainly wouldn't be if it weren't for Huckabee), and Obama has catapulted from having tremendous upside potential to leading the race, but, as always, narrowly.
Matt will argue all sorts of fancy things about the media and Hillary, about Obama and speeches, and it will all be far more well informed than what I know and you will read here. That's what a degree in politics will get you. But a degree in criminal justice always gets you thinking, what's the evidence?

Here are the (loosely based) statements of facts: McCain will be the Republican nominee, and though early, he polls worse against Obama than he does against Hillary. Obama is endowed with charisma and momentum (among, I can assume, other things that Hillary is not). And, most notably (more in a moment), McCain is not a true, er, core, conservative, and, up until now, didn't have the support of the "core" conservatives.

Of course, that doesn't really matter now, does it? The "core" conservatives don't have one of their own to choose, and they are acting as if their party let them down. Maybe, just maybe, the "core" conservatives aren't the majority (remember the Moral Majority? They were neither moral nor a majority, yet they donned the title, didn't they?) and the rest of the Republican party, your run of the mill conservatives and moderates, are having their way.
The "core" conservatives are saying that McCain will have to make his mea culpas to their contingency before he harnesses their vote, and yet the tone in their demand belies the problem within; they are in fact the ones that need McCain, and not the other way around. Now that he is the nominee-elect, the "core" can only hope that he is the lesser of two evils (their words, not mine) - when you have one candidate on the left, and one in the middle, the right can't exactly make demands of the centrist and honestly make him believe that if the demands aren't met, they'll vote left, or not vote at all (with the same net result).
So before the "core" is left with no recourse at all, its time to put out a call to all Wisconsin conservatives: you have a choice to make. You can go to the polls next week and waste a vote and hit up Huck for a delagate or two, or you can pull the lever for McCain and fall into line - but you'll be doing this in November anyway.
No, the smart move, in an open election such as yours, is to go to the polls and do what's best for McCain - pick up the Democratic ticket and fill in the circle, punch the ticket, pull the lever, or rig the Diebold machine for Hillary. Your party will benefit twice; by swinging (some) momentum back to Hill, you'll further your own stability in comparison to the Dems, and you'll also give Clinton Jr. a chance to face McCain in November - which, though you'll never admit it now, or ever - is what you really want at this point anyway.
Think about it. The folks on CNN won't tell you this. The Republican party won't tell you this. But I am telling you this. Just think about it. You can thank me later.

No comments:

Post a Comment